Donald Trump spent his first month with the president in chaos, shock and adoration. He threatened, came back and imposed tariffs. Take a hatch to the federal bureaucracy to Elon Musk. Cleansed institutions and opposition departments. And it attracted media attention with its executive orders and expansionist fantasies.
And through that, his overall popularity has been stable. According to Gallup Poling, his overall popularity has been stable. He still holds a positive net approval rating. This is something that FiveThirtyeight only achieved for two weeks at the start of his first term per average. The measure has been hovered with around 50% approval, with a higher support than he had ever received eight years ago. The margin has been reduced a bit since he took office, but he still sits at +3.3 points.
His personal favour is another measure of how Americans feel about the president, and has been equally positive since he took office in 2021.
These factors naturally inspire some follow-up questions that have particularly bothered Trump critics. Why did all this chaos do nothing to stop him from becoming popular? What is helping him? And how long can it last?
Currently there is a considerable amount of polling and data to answer these questions. Much of what they show is not exactly rocket science. Almost half of Americans vote for Trump, and they like what they’ve seen. The data also includes polls shared solely with VOX, suggesting serious warning signs for the President as they taper their honeymoon. But the bottom line says that people are largely entitled what Trump is doing, and he maintains a high level of support from a high percentage of Republicans, independents and moderates. is.
Main reasons: Much of what Trump does resonates with Americans up until now
There is a very simple explanation as to why many Americans view Trump favorably. They believe he is responding to his campaign promises or doing even better than they expected for the various actions Trump has done.
Several eye-opening results from a recent CBS/YouGov poll show this: about 70% of Americans believe Trump is maintaining his campaign trail promises; Almost half of Americans think they’re doing even more than he expected. His president. Of the subset of respondents, the majority prefer the fact that he exceeds their expectations.
Looking specifically at this issue, Trump will get positive traces to reduce immigration and attention to southern borders and government spending and foreign aid budgets. Another Marquette University poll shows similar things in two other areas. It is Trump’s executive order and stance on transgender people and plans to expand US oil and gas production. Both enjoy double digit level support.
Of course, an important addition to these perspectives is the degree of attention that Trump’s actions received. The President has mastered the attention economy, and the American people feel very informed about his priorities. A YouGov/CBS poll shows that to some extent, about 45% of Americans say they have “a lot” of attention to political news. Another 35% say they have some attention. That attention appears to benefit Trump and his party – most attitudes towards the Democrats remain extremely negative from both Republicans, independents and angry democratic bases.
Trump’s strangest policy moves are the least popular
However, there are some other eccentric and eccentric Trump positions and priorities that do not seem to enjoy the same level of approval, including one signing Trump position with a rather negative association. It rebuts a bit against one of theories for Trump’s success on the campaign trail. His oddity, his blues, and his comedic celebrities were part of why voters liked him.
The same Marquette poll that found Trump’s immigration, transgender and energy policies popular suggests that some of Trump’s more random policy positions are viewed in a very negative way.
“Recovering” the Panama Canal, and the January 6th rioters both opposed 65% of Americans, and the Gulf of Mexico renamed just over 70% of Americans. “Trump’s more traditional executive orders are received very aggressively, as would be expected from the president during his honeymoon phase,” said Lakshya Jain, election analyst at Split-Ticket.org. , states in a post that reflects these dynamics. One of the biggest strikes against “people love Trump’s strangeness” is renaming the Gulf of Mexico, reclaiming the Panama Canal and forgiving the J6 mob, all incredibly unpopular behaviour. GOP-ORTHODOX’s policies include gender, immigration and drilling. Internet positive. ”
Similarly, recent polls conducted by data (and shared with VOX) from progressive research firms for progressive developments reveal more specific Trump took under the umbrella of diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) We found out that we were asked about the actions and asked about government purging. Americans who “remember the heart” seem less favorable to Trump’s position. The other votes here are a bit troubling, but in general, the theoretical DEI initiatives remain extremely popular.
Approximately 62% of American adults in the poll opposed the administrative move to remove the “climate change” reference from the US Department of Agriculture website and remove the Spanish version of the White House website . Meanwhile, more than 70% are opposed to federal agencies’ moves and opposed to stop celebrating Black History Month and Martin Luther King Jr. Day. And while Americans are generally fine with the USAID and the intensity of reductions in government spending and federal bureaucracy, they are wary of the role of Elon Musk and his so-called Government Efficiency Team. Progress data is consistent with CBS and Economist YouGov’s survey this month. Musk himself is very unpopular. At least half of the public have a disadvantage about him, according to data from the Progress polls. These two YouGov surveys show that Americans want Musk to have less influence on government operations, or are totally concerned about the level of impact he will convened. It indicates that it is. According to a survey by Economist/Yougov, 63% of American adults think Trump’s administration has “a lot of influence,” but they hope he has that power. Only 18% are saying. In all partisan groups, the level of “perceived” influence is higher than the “desired” influence of respondents. As Trump’s presidency continues, that perception is important, and Americans are wondering who actually influences the president’s decision.
“Voters wanted a change from the status quo in 2024, so Trump was considered a candidate for change. However, he was still far less popular than the other presidents, including Biden,” he said, progressing. The data from the principal and research director of the school told me. “So far, voters have seen a confused administration attempting many policy changes at once, overpowering the world’s wealthiest people, and Trump has immigrated. “It may be alleviating those who are strongly interested in it, but he has yet to show voters their biggest concern: they can deal with the economy.”
Trump is still facing a singular threat: inflation
The ultimate factor – the economy – could be far more liable than is currently discussed. That was the main reason why Trump was elected – and it’s a problem that most Americans believe Trump is not paying enough attention at this point. For example, a CBS poll found that 66% of Americans believe Trump is not sufficient to “focus on price reductions.” An analysis by Harry Enten of CNN found similar dynamics. About 55% of Americans believe that “inflation” or “economy in general” is Trump’s focus for the first 100 days.
His proposed tariffs in Mexico, Europe and Canada are all very unpopular – only tariffs with China are seen favorably by the majority of Americans.
Marquette’s investigation found similar sectors on whether tariffs are good for the economy. Several 46% believe it will hurt the national economy, but about half of Americans think it will increase inflation.
“Unless Trump can show voters meaningfully that he is focusing on living expenses, his work to eliminate government services and undermine consumer protections motivated by the Pocket Book issue in November You won’t beat the voters you get on,” he told me.
Overall Trump’s favor remains positive, but it’s down trending. So, here’s the question for now: Will this honeymoon last for a long time? Americans, tailored to these political dynamics, continue to move slowly against economic situations such as negative media coverage, reorganized democratic opposition and prices for goods and services. You might be watching it. For now, the positive sentiment Americans have about certain non-economic segments of Trump’s policies is floating around him. But if he doesn’t make any significant progress on these economic expectations, will there be the same mal laziness set during Biden’s return to presidency? And if those conditions and feelings improve, will the voters give him credit? Until now, Trump has shown that he can go against expectations. But inflation has overthrew the president before – and it is now unknown whether Trump is the exception.
