Extreme temperature -mainly heat- is expected to kill up to 2.3 million in Europe by the end of the century as long as it becomes better to reduce carbon contamination and adapt to hotter conditions. I mentioned it.
Currently, the cold temperature has killed more people than big margins in Europe. However, London’s Faculty of Health, a team of hygiene, used various scenarios climate simulation to investigate the mortality rate of 854 cities. They discovered that the cold deaths slowly decreased, but the fever death rises rapidly.
Since there is almost no reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, there is almost no adaptation of air conditioners and cooling centers, so Italy, South Spain, and Greece will significantly increase the mortality rate due to climate change. On the other hand, most of the scandinavia and the UK have discovered research on the Journal Nature Medicine on Monday, mainly, when the number of deaths related to temperature is reduced mainly due to reduced cold temperature.
However, even the most optimistic scenarios, the carbon dioxide emissions from coal, oil, and gas are rapidly reduced, and the adaptation increases significantly. And statistics.
Maserot said that the decline in the cold northern cold was in a place in the southern place, the larger the population, and the heat was actually kicked and it hurt.
“The Mediterranean is a so -called hot spot,” Maserot said. And Malta is in the middle. “
This study predicts that Malta’s temperature -related mortality will increase by 269 by 269 by the end of the century. In contrast, Ireland has slightly decreased, and there are 15 per 100,000 people.
In general, Maserot said that Western Europe has a better fare than East Europe.
In the past few years in Europe, several heat waves have killed thousands of people, but in 2003, about 70,000 deaths.
A large city with many people near the Mediterranean can see the body that accumulates the rest of the century. In this survey, the worst of studying, Barcelona said that Barcelona had about 250,000 extra temperature -related deaths, but Rome and Naples could get nearly 150,000 deaths. Masu.
Carbon contaminated scenarios are slightly worse than the current trend and have no extra adaptation to heat. Maserot’s team discovered over 5.8 million excessive fever due to climate change, but cold deaths were reduced by about 3.5 million. The team has an interactive website that can adjust cities and various factors.
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“This is very lined up with what we expect,” said Dr. Courtney Howard, a doctor in an emergency treatment room in Canada and vice -chairman of the world climate and health alliance. She was not part of the research. “Considering the temperature of the summer and time in a place like Rome, they start to be in their forties (Hana 104-122 degrees), especially when there is no air conditioner.”
Maserot says that Europe has an old housing stock and has less air conditioning in Europe, such as central air, more green spaces, and cooling centers to reduce the expected mortality rate. Ta. He said that North America is unlikely to have such a strong tendency.
Another factor was Maserot that the aging of Europe is to make the population more fragile.
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