The Packers are 10-4 and almost certain to make the playoffs, but a win against the Saints on Monday night would mathematically clinch a wild-card spot.
But they have no chance of winning the NFC North. Sunday’s win by the 13-2 Lions eliminated the Packers from contention for the district title. The Packers can’t finish more than a tie with the Lions, who hold the tiebreaker by virtue of winning all their regular season series.
In addition to winning the championship, the Packers are fighting to remain the No. 6 seed ahead of the Washington Commanders, who are 10-5 and projected to be the No. 7 seed in the NFC. The No. 7 seed will likely face the Eagles in the playoffs and eventually face the NFC North champions (Lions or Vikings), making the road to the Super Bowl tough.
The Packers are also trying to avoid a disaster scenario of being eliminated from the playoffs. In this case, Green Bay would lose all three remaining games, the Falcons (8-7) and Bucks (8-7) would win, and with the Packers eliminated, the two NFC South teams along with the Commanders would make the playoffs. It is necessary to advance to The Falcons, Bucks and Commanders will each get tiebreaker advantage if they finish 10-7.