• Chase Brown, 3.5+ receptions (+146 in FD): Brown has taken a clear leadership role in the Bengals’ backfield, with 58 touches over the past four weeks to Moss’ 37. With Moss listed as questionable this week, Brown should further secure a share of the backfield with the team’s other top target (tee higgins) The injury report is also considered questionable.
• Drake London, Atlanta Falcons: Anytime TD (+120 on FD): London targeted on 12th Of his 29 routes in the red zone this season, it was the third-most route behind Garrett Wilson and George Kittle. That 41% target rate is tops among wide receivers, and this matchup against a Cowboys defense that ranks 29th in allowed per play in EPA this season will see the Falcons enter the red zone frequently. There’s little reason to think otherwise. jacksonville jaguars, carolina panthers and arizona cardinals.
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Estimated reading time: 4 minutes
Key Insights was developed to help inform winning decisions, whether you’re betting on player props or making start/seat decisions in fantasy football.
So now that we’ve reached the halfway point of the season, it’s a good time to provide an update on Key Insights’ overall performance.
We have been tracking the outcome of the logical bets associated with each insight. In the spirit of transparency, the week-over-week results are shown below.
Number of wins per week Number of losses Win rate %
1
8
19
30%
2
twenty five
19
57%
3
19
28
40%
4
20
13
61%
5
16
16
50%
6
28
27
51%
7
31
20
61%
8
32
twenty one
60%
Total 179 163 52%
After a tough few early weeks of the season, Insight has performed well since switching to 2024 data. Since week 4, I’ve hit 57% of the time, and I’ve hit 60% in each of the past two weeks.
You can see the complete list of key insights for the first time at the end of this article. Key Insights are now also available in PFF’s player profile for players with relevant insights.
Season-to-date record for all key insights: 179-163 (52%) Key insight record after Week 4 (3+ weeks of data in 2024): 127-97 (57%)
RB Chase Brown, Cincinnati Bengals: 3.5+ receptions (+146 in FD)
Brown has taken a clear leadership role in the Bengals’ backfield, with 58 touches over the past four weeks to Moss’ 37. With Moss listed as questionable this week, Brown should further secure a share of the backfield with the team’s other top target (tee higgins) The injury report is also considered questionable.
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