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In a global economic landscape characterized by successive upheavals, few sectors can maintain lasting stability. Long seen as an unsinkable fortress, the classic symbol of luxury, prosperity and exclusivity has been shaken in 2024. In fact, the fortunes of iconic figures such as Bernard Arnault, Françoise Betancourt Meyer, and Francois Pinault suffered massive losses of more than $70 billion. Combined dollars. This economic downturn can be attributed to a series of closely related factors, including a slowing Chinese economy, domestic political tensions, and increased market volatility. These combined factors have shaken the pillars of the field and revealed unexpected vulnerabilities.
Destiny to decline: a dark year for French luxury goods
In 2024, French billionaires experienced a particularly difficult period, marked by a significant decline in their net worth. Bernard Arnault, once the world’s third richest man, saw his fortune decline by 15%, and that loss was directly related to the 14% drop in the share price of LVMH, of which he is the largest shareholder. “LVMH’s stock market performance is a direct reflection of the challenges in the global luxury goods market,” the Bloomberg Billionaires Index shows.
Meanwhile, Françoise Betancourt Meyers, heir to the L’Oréal empire, suffered an even more notable setback. Her fortune decreased by 25%, paralleled by a 24% devaluation of her group’s shares on the Paris Stock Exchange. Chanel’s owners, the Wertheimer brothers, also posted losses estimated at billions of euros, but the impact is lessened by the fact that the luxury brand is not listed on the stock market.
The case of François Pinault, founder of the Kering Group, stands out for its scale. As a result of the staggering 41% drop in the share price of Gucci, the group’s main growth engine, his personal fortune has melted by nearly 40%. These losses mark a clear break from a year ago, when luxury goods seemed to be an impregnable safe haven for investors. These trends, combined with the dismal performance of the sector’s leading companies, highlight major changes in the French luxury industry.
China’s role and the shadow of political tensions
China, a pillar of the luxury sector’s historic growth, played a central role in the 2024 crisis. Chinese consumers generate nearly 30% of industry revenue, and the downturn in the Chinese economy has had a significant impact. The recovery in the Chinese market did not materialize as expected. Economic measures implemented by the Chinese government to stimulate consumption and revive the economy have proven ineffective. The stagnation compounded the difficulties faced by luxury goods companies, whose sales in this key market have plummeted. At the same time, increasing trade tensions between China and the United States have increased uncertainty, hampered exports, and further complicated the situation for companies in this sector.
In France, political turmoil is exacerbating this economic crisis. The dissolution of the Diet in June led to a prolonged period of instability. The situation has crippled key government initiatives, including the Finance Bill 2025, which includes a controversial corporate tax hike. Such a move would cost the group “more than 700 million euros”, according to LVMH Chief Financial Officer Jean-Jacques Guiony, raising concerns among large companies. Dew. Since this event, the CAC40, which reached historic highs before June, has not regained its high levels. Faced with increasing fiscal and economic turmoil, investors are becoming increasingly pessimistic, fueling a vicious cycle of currency depreciation in the market.
This dark year has raised questions about the future of luxury. Although Asian markets remain strategic, they appear to be increasingly unpredictable. Players in this sector need to diversify their approaches, strengthen their presence in other regions and rethink their strategies in the face of the tense domestic political situation. In 2025, the challenge will be to restore investor confidence and redefine investor resilience to volatile external factors. In this way, 2024 will go down in history as a cruel memory. Even big, high-end companies have to adapt to a world where stability is never guaranteed.
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The views, ideas and opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author and should not be construed as investment advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.