Washington
CNN
–
President Donald Trump and his administration have a variety of complaints about Canada to justify the plan to impose a 25 % tariff on most imports (including 10 % of customs duties related to energy imports) from Canada, which starts on Tuesday. I filed a claim. Frequently, Trump has quoted US trade deficit with Canada, Fentanyl trafficking from Canada to the United States, illegal migration across Canada and US borders, and low -level defense spending in Canada.
However, Trump exaggerates the size of the trade deficit. He has not stated that Canada is responsible for the small percentage of illegal Fentanyl imports to the United States and a slight US encounter with immigrants. And the continuous failure of Canada, which does not meet the NATO Defense Expanding Guidelines, has long been concerned about the U.S., but Trump is sometimes exaggerated.
This is the fact check.
Trump gathered the Canadian border and the Mexican border while talking about illegal Fentanyl imports. For example, the day after the inauguration ceremony in January, he states: Fentanyl is huge through Mexico. ”
However, there is a big difference in the scope of the problem at the two boundaries.
According to Federal Statistics, in 2024, border authorities seized 21,889 pounds of Fentanyl. Of the amount, 43 pounds were seized at the Canadian border -approx.
There is no sign of major changes in the first three months of the 2025 fiscal year (October 2024 to December 2024). During that period, 10 pounds and about 0.2 % of the 4,537 pounds seized by US border authorities were seized at the Canada border, and 4,409 pounds (about 97.2 %) were seized at the Mexico border.
It is true that the amount of Fentanyl seized at the Canadian border increased in FY2024. Only 2 pounds were seized in FY2023, and 14 pounds were seized in 2022. It may be fatal.
Nevertheless, the US Pharmaceutical Executive Bureau’s 2024 national drug threat evaluation report did not even use the word “Canada”. I spoke 86 times to Mexico.
As the New York Times reported last week, the Boat -oriented Congress Committee on the struggle with the Synthetic Opion Opioid Personal Trading said in the 2022 report, mainly based on data on seizures, “Canada is Fentanill, other synthetic opiods or other synthetic opiods. A report to the United States is not known to be a primary source of the precursor. “I have equipment, facilities, and expertise,” he said, “It seems that illegal operators in the country have exported a large amount of bulk fantanil so far. Unlike a forged tablet.
Aaron McClrolly, Vice President of the Canadian Border Bureau Intelligence, told Canada Broadcasting Corporation in December 2024. In any case, Fentanyl is not an important source to go to the United States. McCrorie said, as the drug executive bureau shows, “It’s clear that the majority of Fentanil going to the United States and the majority are from Mexico.”
In response to Trump’s concerns, the Canadian government has announced various measures in December, which is trying to fight drug trafficking to the United States, including increasing the funds to the technology detection tools and dog teams.
Trump also refused to distinguish the Canadian border on the theme of immigration from the Mexican border. At the same event the day after the inauguration ceremony, he stated: They may have stopped them, and they didn’t. ”
However, the Canadian border is a place at an intersection that is much less than the Mexican border, even after a rapid rise in the Biden era at an intersection from the north.
In fiscal 2024, there were about 2.9 million “encounters” nationwide with immigrants by US national border authorities. Among them, 198,929 encounters -about 6.9 % -were on the border of Canada. Of the approximately 1.6 million US border guards, only 23,721 or about 1.5 % of the encounter with immigrants other than the entry legal port were on the north border.
During the Biden administration, the number of immigrants from Canada to the United States had a big jump between the legal port and those ports. The number of encounters between Northern Ports was only 2,238 in FY2022, so the number of 23,721 in 2024 was only 10 times more than two years ago.
This increase is being promoted by the rapid increase in the number of immigrants from distant countries, especially in India, which is about to fly to the United States after flying to the United States.
Trump repeatedly expands the US trade deficit with Canada. He said on Friday, as before, said, “It has a deficit of about $ 200 billion in Canada and nearly $ 200 billion.”
He gave his claim with the words “only” and “approaching”, but it was still not right.
According to the US government’s Economy Analysis Bureau, the US product service deficit with Canada was about $ 40.6 billion in 2023, with full data last year. Even if we considered only product transactions and ignored the excellent service trade in the United States, the US deficit with Canada was about $ 72.3 billion in 2023, but Trump’s normal “$ 200 billion” numbers. Was still shy.
It is worth noting that the deficit is overwhelmingly caused by importing a large amount of inexpensive Canadian oil of about 3.9 million barrels per day on average in 2023.
Trump claims from Canada that we don’t need anything, but heavy crude oil from the oil sand in Alberta should be treated mainly in the Midwest, with heavy crude oil on products such as gasoline and diesel. There is a high demand for the US refinement designed. Instead of lighter crude oil, the United States tends to be extracted in Japan.
“If the Canadian oil is not available (hypothesized), many US refinement may have difficulty finding heavy and crude things elsewhere, and the operation in such a scenario is stopped. Historically, Venezuela was a large -scale producer of heavy crude oil, but the Venezuela oil industry was a former shadow of the Umondo James investment strategic analyst. One Pabel Molcanov states.
Trump has been called for the army to spend more for the army for many years. He correctly pointed out that Canada is not always in NATO’s guidelines, which costs 2 % of the total domestic product to each member.
However, Trump sometimes exaggerated how Canada is away from 2 % goals.
He mistakenly claimed that Canada was spending less than 1 % in early January. According to the official NATO numbers, Canada spent 1.37 % of the GDP estimated in 2024. In 2024, the fifth of the 31 NATO members in 2024, increased from estimated 1.31 % in 2023. Canada was over 1 %. Trump’s first presidential position is from 1.44 % in 2017 to 1.29 % in 2019.
Trump also stated in early January: “They do not essentially have an army. They have a very small army.”
The Canadian defense expert and the Canadian government itself has expressed concern about the size and preparation of the national army, but the army is very present, and as of the fall of 2024, more than 63,000 regular service members and 20,000. There is a preliminary role than a person.
The Canadian and the U.S. Army jointly operate the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) and carry out many other activities, including strategic initiatives in the Latvia and South China Sea. For the past few years, the Canadian army has been fighting alongside the U.S. military in Afghanistan (more than 150 Canadian army died), both wars between Syria and Iraq, the Gulf War, and both the South Korea War. World War (Tens of thousands of Canadian army died in addition to participating in other wars and peace maintenance missions).
Trump has qualified his claim with the word “essentially”. And he has the right to question whether the Canadian army is strong, as the Canadian politicians have. However, Canada is certainly comparable to Iceland, a member of the NATO without the army.
“The Canadian troops are not the largest NATO, but with the rapid increase of Obama, such as suppressing Kandahar, one of the most severe places in Afghanistan, it has made a great deal of contributions on a regular basis. “The 88 F-35, 15 frigate ships, are the Director of Karlton University’s International Patterson and Defense and Security Network. Is it very small in the main capital?
SAIDEMAN also stated that in absolute terms that do not take the economy of each member, Canada is actually one of NATO’s largest spending. In 2024, it was 8th of the 31 members except Iceland. “Canada is still one of the largest spending on military, despite less than 2 % of spending. The economy is larger than most NATO members, so in absolute words, many people buy it. I’m spending. ”
