Former President Donald Trump is on track to win the 2024 presidential election, based on a slowly increasing number of early votes, according to a longtime political journalist.
“If the early voting numbers stay the way they are, and that’s a big assumption, we’ll almost certainly know who wins by Election Day,” Mark Halperin, editor-in-chief of the 2WAY video platform, said Tuesday.
Mr. Halperin, 59, said early voting data in at least some of the key battleground states this season shows that Mr. Trump, 78, is currently ahead of his deputy, Kamala Harris, when voters flood into polling places in November. He pointed out that this shows that he has achieved sufficient results to surpass the president, 59 years old. 5.
“Make no mistake about it. If these numbers hold up in states where we have even a partial understanding of what the data looks like, we’ll see Donald Trump become president on Election Day,” he said. said.
The former NBC News reporter stressed that early voting numbers need to be tracked “on a daily basis” and that those numbers “are more important than polls at this point.”
“This is important, almost more than anything else, because the various indicators of early voting in battleground states provide insight into the various factors that influence Republican overperformance,” Halperin said. did.
Halperin focused on early voting totals from Nevada, particularly from populous Clark County, whose county seat is Las Vegas.
“Normally Democrats have a huge lead of 4,500 votes,” the journalist said. “Rural areas outnumber the electorate.”
Halperin also pointed to a report Monday in the Nevada Independent showing Republicans leading statewide by 8,000 votes.
“(D)Don’t read too much into early voting, okay?” Halperin warned. “That could change. We don’t know exactly who’s doing these votes, how they’re voting, etc.”
“But every analyst I’ve talked to in the past 24 hours, including those who have spoken publicly, agrees that Democrats are unlikely to do well on Election Day if things continue as they are, so Donald Trump “There is no chance of us losing,” he added.
According to RealClearPolitics’ latest polling average, Trump leads Harris in all seven battleground states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
