Donald Trump rules out second debate with Kamala Harris; poll spells trouble for Democrats in the Senate – live | US news

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White House cheers as inflation grows at slowest rate since early 2021

Following the release of September consumer price data that confirms inflation has dropped dramatically since reaching a four-decade high earlier in Joe Biden’s term, the White House’s top economist Lael Brainard said the country is making progress in controlling costs.

“Today’s report shows inflation has fallen back down to 2.4%, the same rate as right before the pandemic. We keep making progress, with inflation returning to pre-pandemic levels, 16 million jobs created, lower interest rates, and low unemployment,” said Brainard, who is the president’s national economic adviser.

“President Biden and Vice-President Harris will keep fighting to lower costs – by building new homes to lower rents, capping prescription drug costs and reducing health insurance premiums, and lowering taxes for middle-class families – as congressional Republicans keep pushing trickle-down economics that would raise costs by nearly $4,000 per family while cutting taxes for billionaires and big corporations.”

Here’s more on the inflation data, and what it means for the world’s largest economy:

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Updated at 11.12 EDT

Lauren Gambino

As Florida begins to assess the damage wrought overnight by Hurricane Milton, youth climate activists are calling for a presidential town hall focused on the federal response to the extreme weather events.

Activists with the youth-led Sunrise Movement are asking cable networks to hold a town hall in North Carolina, where hundreds of people were killed this month by Hurricane Helene. They propose 17 October, the day early voting begins in the battleground southern state.

“Media networks need to do their jobs and host a Hurricane Town Hall,” said Shiva Rajbhandari, a 20-year-old North Carolina student. “In just the last two weeks, millions of people have been affected and thousands have lost their homes, loved ones and livelihoods. I’m sick of seeing death count headlines and pretending like this is just an act of God. The climate crisis is here, it’s caused by big oil, and the American people deserve to know what our future President will do to keep us safe and hold the fossil fuel industry accountable for its crimes against humanity.”

They are pitching the town hall as a way to address rampant misinformation that has flourished in the aftermath of the disasters. Donald Trump has amplified falsehoods that the Biden administration misdirected Fema funds to house undocumented migrants and that only people who lost their homes were eligible for $750 federal payments.

A town hall is unlikely at this stage – Trump has rebuffed calls for a second debate. His running mate JD Vance is in North Carolina today, and Kamala Harris will return to the state this weekend.

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Updated at 10.56 EDT

A tidbit on Joe Biden’s relationship with Ron DeSantis.

Earlier this week, the Florida governor declined to take a call about Hurricane Milton from Kamala Harris because its purpose “seemed political”, an aide to DeSantis told NBC News. The vice-president, in turn, criticized the governor, calling the decision “irresponsible” and “selfish”.

Biden nonetheless spoke warmly of DeSantis yesterday, saying “he’s been very gracious” in terms of the response to Milton. NBC News now reports that Biden wasn’t aware of the tension between Harris and the governor. Here’s more:

That Biden didn’t include a response about her wasn’t meant as a jab at Harris, whom he endorsed as the Democratic nominee to replace him when he stepped aside from the top of the ticket on July 21. Biden hadn’t been briefed about the dynamic involving Harris and DeSantis, the person familiar with the situation said.

“He wasn’t tracking a specific back-and-forth,” the source said, adding that Biden was “focused on the response itself”. The person was granted anonymity to speak freely about the matter.

DeSantis ripped Harris on Fox News this week, charging that it was she who was trying to insert politics into the recovery.

“I’ve had storms under both President Trump and President Biden, and I’ve worked well with both of them,” he said. “She’s the first one who’s trying to politicize the storm, and she’s doing that just because of her campaign. I don’t have time for political games.”

Here’s more on the spat:

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Updated at 10.41 EDT

Biden and DeSantis talk after Hurricane Milton sweeps through state

With Hurricane Milton’s remnants now over the Atlantic Ocean after slicing across central Florida, Joe Biden spoke with the state’s Republican governor Ron DeSantis about the storm’s impacts.

“The Governor said they are still assessing the damage across the state. He thanked the president for the extensive federal support to prepare for and respond to the storm. The president reiterated that he will provide any support the state needs to speed response and recovery,” the White House said.

After a short-lived campaign for the White House, DeSantis is now backing Donald Trump and routinely criticizes Biden, but the pair have put their differences aside repeatedly to collaborate on hurricane response over the past three years.

Floridians are surveying the damage wrought by Milton, which appears not to have caused as much destruction as expected. Follow our live blog for the latest:

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Updated at 10.18 EDT

Another crucial race in determining Senate control is in Pennsylvania, where Democrat Bob Casey is standing for re-election against Republican David McCormick. The Guardian’s Martin Pengelly reports that newly unearthed documents show ties between McCormick and Russian borrowers:

David McCormick, the Republican candidate for US Senate in Pennsylvania, led the largest hedge fund in the world while it managed and advised funds holding hundreds of millions of dollars in Russian debt, documents obtained by the Guardian show.

Filings with the US Department of Labor, known as form 5500s, show that from 2017 to 2021, Bridgewater Associates managed funds holding as much as $415m in Russian sovereign bonds. Since 2019 these types of investment have been subject to increasingly stringent US sanctions, in response to Russian aggression in Ukraine.

Holding such assets is not illegal, but the question of McCormick’s work with foreign investments and how it might influence his political career has already coloured his current campaign, against the incumbent Democratic senator, Bob Casey.

McCormick stepped down as Bridgewater CEO in 2022, in order to run for Congress and a month before Russia mounted a full-scale invasion of Ukraine. But sanctions were first levied three years before that when, according to the firm itself, as co-CEO from 2017 to 2020 and then as sole CEO, McCormick was responsible for “overseeing the firm’s strategy, governance, and operations”.

McCormick himself has said about his time as Bridgewater boss: “Whatever we did I’m responsible for.”

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Poll spells trouble for Democrats’ hopes of keeping Senate majority

The presidential race may be anyone’s to lose, but the GOP has long been viewed as the favorite to take the Senate back in November.

The Democrats have a 51-49 majority in the chamber, but are almost certain to lose one seat due to West Virginia senator Joe Manchin’s retirement. Their only hope of keeping control next year is to win the re-election of senators representing red states Montana and Ohio, or pick up seats in Texas and Florida, both Republican territory. Even if they manage to win 50 seats, a Donald Trump victory would make them the minority party, as JD Vance would cast the tie-breaking vote to put the GOP in control.

A just-released poll from the New York Times and Siena College shows Democratic candidates trailing in three of those states. In Montana, incumbent Jon Tester is behind his Republican challenger Tim Sheehy by seven points – a result that, if confirmed, would be enough to flip the chamber to the GOP on its own.

As for those pickup opportunities, the poll indicates they are not looking so good for Democrats. In Texas, incumbent Ted Cruz is up by four points over Democrat Colin Allred, while in Florida, Rick Scott has a whopping nine-point advantage over his challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell.

The one state not polled is Ohio, where Democrat Sherrod Brown has been leading by a small margin in recent surveys.

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Updated at 09.37 EDT

Seeking an edge for Harris, youth voter group steps up outreach to gen Z

Lauren Gambino

As the 2024 election enters its final weeks, Voters of Tomorrow says it has made more than 5 million “direct contacts” with young people – a milestone for the gen Z-led voter outreach organisation.

“This election will be decided by a few thousand voters in key battleground states – and they could very well be young people,” said Santiago Mayer, the 22-year-old executive director of Voters of Tomorrow. “That’s why every contact we make is critical.”

With voting already under way in many states, the teens and twentysomethings behind the group say they’re just getting started. Mayer said the group, which endorsed Kamala Harris, was “on track to more than triple” their effort, which includes making phone calls, sending texts and organizing their friends, families and classmates.

Much of their recent work was focused on voter registration, but as deadlines close they are shifting to making sure young people have a plan for how to vote on election day. In an endorsement of their tactics, Voters of Tomorrow recently announced that it raised over $1m last quarter, a record sum for the years-old organization.

Voters of Tomorrow is partnering with other youth-focused groups, including March for Our Lives, People Power for Florida, and Swifties for Kamala, to co-host phone and text banks in critical battleground states and districts

Approximately 41 million members of gen Z are eligible to vote this year, including millions who were too young to vote in 2020. A national NYT/Siena College survey found likely voters under 30 prefer Harris to Trump 58%-37%. Joe Biden carried the youth vote by a similar margin in 2020.

“Too much is on the line for gen Z to stay home this election,” Mayer said.

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Updated at 09.08 EDT

Trump appears to close door for good on debating Harris before 5 November election

It looks like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris will not be debating again before the 5 November election. While the vice-president’s campaign insisted the invitation for a second debate remained on the table, Trump, in a Truth Social post written in his customary all-caps style, yesterday evening said: “THERE WILL BE NO REMATCH!” He made a point of mentioning Harris’s comment days ago that she would not do anything differently than Joe Biden, words the GOP has seized on to argue her election would represent a continuation of the unpopular president’s policies.

With that apparently settled, let’s talk about the state of the race. Less than four weeks to election day, there still is no clear frontrunner. Per our own tracker, Harris has an aggregate lead in five of the swing states expected to decide the race, and Trump in two, Arizona and Georgia. But their margins are slim, and every day brings new polling that often undercuts assumptions about the state of the race. Consider surveys released by Quinnipac University yesterday that found Harris leading in perhaps the most vital swing state, Pennsylvania, but trailing Trump in Michigan and Wisconsin. That data flies in the face of other polls that show her performing better in the latter two battlegrounds but trailing in Pennsylvania, or winning all three.

Here’s what else is happening today:

Barack Obama is hitting the campaign trail for Harris, with an event planned in Pittsburgh at 7pm ET. Harris will be in Las Vegas, with an event planned at 7pm, while JD Vance is hosting a town hall in Greensboro, North Carolina.

Inflation continued to ebb in September, according to just-released data from the labor department. The annual increase in consumer prices was 2.4%, its smallest since February 2021. The issue is nonetheless expected to remain politically potent.

Hurricane Milton has churned across Florida as it heads into the Atlantic Ocean, leaving behind a swath of destruction. Follow our live blog for the latest.

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Updated at 10.28 EDT