The majority of bets placed by major bookmakers on the winner of the 2024 presidential election over the past week favored Republican candidate Donald Trump’s victory, according to data provided to Newsweek.
Of those who bet on Star Sports and the battle for the White House in the week ending Thursday, 95% bet on Mr. Trump to win, and 5% bet on his Democratic challenger, Vice President Kamala Harris. Overall, Star Sports gives Trump a 4/6 (60 percent) chance of winning on November 5, while Harris has an 11/8 (42.1 percent) chance.
Recent polls have shown the 2024 presidential election to be too close to call, with an analysis released Thursday by election website 538 showing Harris with 46.4% of the vote to Trump’s 48.1%. has a 1.7 point lead. But the electoral college system means Harris could win the popular vote but lose the election, as Hillary Clinton did in 2016. According to 538, Trump is the favorite in the electoral system, with a 51 percent chance of victory.
“Markets have continued to favor Donald Trump for a week, with 95% of all bets placed on the upcoming U.S. presidential election,” Star Sports political betting analyst William Kejani told Newsweek. ” he said.
“While there are still some twists and turns before Election Day, the former president is comfortably in the driver’s seat, with Kamala Harris in a 4/6 bet that he will return to the White House on November 5th. is currently the winner of 11/8” Outsider. “
When asked why the company thought so many people had bet on Trump over the past week, a Star Sports spokesperson told Barron’s: “We placed Biden against other candidates early on. , I made some decent bets on Trump the next time Harris was announced.” ; So we find ourselves in a fairly comfortable position.
“That allowed us to get Trump’s highs during a time when we felt he was too short-lived. At the same time, polls were favoring Trump, but both factors contributed to Trump’s recent This contributed to the biased interest in him.
“This was the busiest and most see-saw election we’ve ever covered. We believe more changes are coming.”
Star Sports also pegs Trump as the favorite to win the key battleground states of Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada and Arizona, with odds of 15 for the Republican candidate to win all of them. /8 (34.8%). of all seven states.
Kejani added, “It is also noteworthy that Trump is favored 15/8, carrying all seven battleground states, and Republicans are likely to win in each market, with voting taking place across the country. “It could greatly improve Mr. Trump’s chances.” ”
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Republican National Committee spokeswoman Anna Kelly told Newsweek: “President Trump is every American’s candidate, which is why he’s winning in every battleground, and his message… “resonates with voters across the country.”
“As CNN reported, for the first time since 1984, more Americans are identifying as Republicans because Kamala Harris and the Democratic Party’s dangerous liberal policies are failing America. Harris destroyed our economy, our borders, and peace around the world, but President Trump will fix it.” “
Newsweek requested comment from the Harris campaign via email on Friday.
338Canada’s election model based on “polls, election history and demographic data” released on Tuesday shows Harris as the favorite to win the November election, with an average electoral vote of 286, compared to Trump. There were 252 people. The model also found that Trump was the favorite in Georgia, Nevada and Arizona, but that Harris was likely to win in the battleground states of Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and North Carolina.
About 20,000 more registered Republicans have voted in Nevada than Democrats so far, according to data released Wednesday, which one prominent analyst calls “more than any other presidential election cycle.” “This is unprecedented at this point.”
According to research by CNN political analyst Harry Enten, Trump’s lead among white women, a traditionally Republican voting group, is just 1 percentage point; He has the smallest lead of any Republican candidate this century.
