Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) has turned heartbeat and registration revenue into a routine, but when the AI chip giant reported its fourth quarter (January quarter) results on Wednesday (February 26th) Will the winning streak continue? More importantly, if so, is it enough to shake stocks from their recent lull and return to rally mode?
Given how things have unfolded over the past few months, Stifel’s top analyst Ruben Roy said the sentiment looks different this time.
“In contrast to previous quarters, the estimated revised trajectory suggests a low forecast heading towards F4Q,” said Roy, who ranks in the top 3% of Wall Street stock experts. “I think this is also evident in the ratings as NVDA shares a 33x three-year average with the 26x 2026 EPS.”
Compared to the feedback received last quarter, Roy’s recent checks are “clearly mixed.” While discussions about Blackwell’s demand remained very positive, uncertainty about the company’s timeline to meet demand has led to “wide outcomes.”
Later in the year, expectations may have shifted to a more robust Blackwell ramp, but will this be converted to a substantial B200/GB200 ramp or a faster shift to a B300/GB300 cycle It is still unknown whether it is. The “long-term” five-star analyst continued. “I don’t think this is important, but for now, given the ongoing uncertainty of the post-deepseek market, we rarely see a strong positive catalyst in our view. Distribute from revenues .”
It’s not something investors want to ask. For raw numbers, Roy’s F4Q25 revenue forecast of $37.5 billion is roughly the same as the guide’s midpoint, with consensus estimates being slightly below $38.1 billion. Roy is looking for adjustments. $0.83 and an adj EPS. The total margin is 73.5%, not far from the consensus estimates of $0.85 and 73.4%, respectively.
Roy doesn’t think that the blowout quarter is in office, but that doesn’t mean he’ll take a weak stance anyway when he thinks about Nvidia’s outlook anyway.
“We believe that the fundamental trend in AI infrastructure spending will not work for NVDA despite the potential for positive revenue revisions that are meaningful compared to the recent quarter,” Anna said. List said.
NVIDIA estimates about 27x Roy’s FY2027 (CY2026) EPS of $5.12, down below the five-year average multiple of 33x, far from the 64x peak in the second half of 2021.
Meanwhile, with GTC in just a few weeks (March 17-21), NVIDIA shares updates on its technology roadmap, providing deeper insights into new AI use cases, and customer recruitment It could serve as a potential catalyst for inventory as it is expected to be discussed. trend.
To this end, Roy shares NVDA as a buy, suggesting that the stock will rise by 38% over the coming months, along with a price target of $180. (Click here to see Roy’s achievements)
Most of Roy’s colleagues think along the same line. Analyst Consensus Rate NVDA makes strong buys and analyst consensus rate based on the mix of No. 31. At $178.81, the average target means that the stock will rise 37% over the next year. (See NVDA Stock Prediction)
To find good ideas for stocks to trade with attractive ratings, buy the best stocks in Tipranks. This is a tool that brings together all of Tipranks equity insights.
Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are the opinions of featured analysts. Content is intended for informational purposes only. It is very important to do your own analysis before making an investment.
