World Affairs Editor
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Sometimes there are years when the world experiences fundamental and convulsing changes. One of them was in 1968, due to Soviet Czechoslovak invasions, Paris riots and protests in the United States of America. The year of the Tiananmen Square massacre, the fall of the Berlin Wall, and the collapse of the Soviet Empire were different.
I was on hand to see each of these happening, and from that point of view it seems that only seven weeks in 2025 could be such a year. shredder.
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Of course, the basic reason is Donald Trump.
Since the end of World War II, each of the 13 US presidents before Trump’s current term has at least a set of lip services to a critical geopolitical principles. Asian communist countries against China.
Trump made up for this approach. He says he is throwing American interests first before everything else. Most often, it comes down to a single question of how much it costs the US.
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In itself, this is quite difficult for his friends and allies abroad, especially in Europe. But that was much more difficult due to Trump’s own personality. Even Richard Nixon, the modern-day US president has shaped his policies like Trump’s personal traits.
“He’s like Louis XIV,” one retired American diplomat told me.
Critics like this believe Trump is both breathtakingly useless and surprisingly light skin at the same time. As a result, people around him, like Elon Musk and JD Vance, probably their position is completely dependent on how much they praise him and support his opinion. I’m thinking about it.
Musk takes on that further when President Trump argues that Ukrainian President Voldymi Zelensky is corrupt and that there is no evidence if the recognition is low. The Ukrainian soldier.
Anyone in today’s Trump circle will cough carefully and say, “President, you should probably want to row that statement.”
Judging from his previous term, we can be sure that all the people around him know how he dislikes how he is being opposed. And they also know that many voters genuinely support Trump’s approach, and feel they are bankrolling security on a distant continent.
He promised to stop the Ukrainian war by Easter. He is absolutely right when President Vladimir Putin says he is keen on this. The Russian army is slowly progressing in the eastern part of Ukraine through the pure force of numbers.
However, the cost of living in Russia is immeasurable. If the process continues, Russia may have to resort to conscription. This is dangerously unpopular and can even destabilize Putin’s regime. Everything Trump says about getting peace is music to his ears.
John Bolton, Trump’s hardworking national security adviser during the first administration, said the other day when they heard of the Trump administration’s peace plan, they would destroy the Kremlin champagne. It certainly felt like a historic moment – not only in Moscow, but around the world.
Putin is acutely supporter of the idea that Trump really won the 2020 election. That may not be true, but Putin knows that Trump likes people who support his views on things.
In contrast, why do Trump and the people around him work so hard on President Zelensky? That’s because he doesn’t do anything he said, going back to the negotiation table and attacking deals on access to important minerals in Ukraine.
At the same time, President Trump understands that Zelensky is the weakest link in the US Russian Ukrain trio and can be narrowed down in ways Putin can’t. The more pressure is piled up in Zelensky, the faster peace will be.
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It appears that President Trump never shows much interest in the details of any agreement, at least in public. Even if Ukraine and its allies believe it is clearly unfair, even if Russia allows them to return to a future date and start a war, it is the agreement itself that matters to him.
British and German diplomats I know were furious at how Trump led Russia to the negotiation table. “He had two main cards in his hand,” one said. “It was Russia’s isolation at first. Putin would have made a lot of concessions to reach talks with the US. Only Trump had no claims of concessions at all. He just sat down and started talking. .”
The diplomat was to insist that the other card should be allowed to join NATO. “Trump may have slammed this and forced all sorts of agreements from Putin. Ukraine will ultimately not join NATO in that case.” In the European capital, before he began his speech. I feel that I’ve discarded both of his important cards.
But some European diplomats already with experience in US politics have said that his advisors have put this epic monarchy in Donald Trump’s presidency (he literally said he would “king” himself. He advises the government that he has not advised the government that he called the government. last.
Trump currently controls flexible Congress and a conservative Supreme Court, but in November 2026, a medium-term election will take place in the US just 20 months later.
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There are signs that inflation is beginning to rise in America, and enough people could be severely affected by the upheaval, just as they want to punish Trump’s Republicans.
If he loses control of one or both homes, the force he is currently pushing through all plans and policies will diminish, no matter how controversial.
But there is a huge amount of things that could happen next year and in eight months. Trump’s expansionism could burn China. A massive international trade war caused by Trump’s tariffs could be opened. The European Union appears to be more likely than ever to be politically and economically weaker.
Agreeing to Ukraine’s peace on Russian terms will be completely new to the United States. For most of the negotiations since 1945, Russia has struggled to follow that path due to the economic and military strength of America.
Now, Putin made the costly decision three years ago to invade Ukraine, but it appears likely that he will escape and thrive.
If that happens, 2025 will actually be remembered as a significant year. It was a moment when the history of the world changed, and again there was no one exactly the same thing.