Opinion polls show that Europe’s anxiety about President Donald Trump’s return to the White House is not shared in many parts of the world, and that non-Western countries such as China, Russia, India and Brazil are skeptical of a second term for Trump. It was shown that there were more people who were welcoming than people who were not welcoming.
The poll of 24 countries, which also included Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Indonesia and Turkey, found that only Switzerland, the UK, 11 EU countries surveyed and South Korea felt Trump 2.0 would have a negative impact on peace in their country and China. It turned out that world.
“In short, Trump’s return is being lamented by America’s longtime allies and almost no one else,” the European Council on Foreign Relations think tank said in a report, adding that Trump’s re-election means that, especially He added that Europe was “at a crossroads” in its relations with China. us.
The report also notes that many people outside Europe believe the president-elect is committed to ending wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, and that the United States under President Trump is one of the major powers in several countries, including the European Union. He also made it clear that he considers it to be nothing more than a
“Europe needs to recognize that a more transactional world is coming. Rather than trying to lead global liberals against Trump, they need to understand their strengths and build on what they can find. The report states:
Respondents ranged from “I don’t welcome Trump at all” to “I don’t welcome Trump at all”, with the highest percentage in India (75%), Russia (38%), South Africa (35%), China (34%) and Brazil (33%). classified into two groups. Trumpers” is prevalent in the UK (50%), Switzerland and the EU (28%).
Optimism about President Trump’s second term was particularly evident in India. Among Indians, 82% thought it was good for world peace, 84% thought it was good for their country, and 85% thought it was good for the American people. and Saudi Arabia (57%). %, 61%, and 69%, respectively).
Even among America’s long-time allies, reactions varied widely. 22% of 11 EU countries surveyed, 15% of the UK and 11% of South Korea said they thought Trump would be a good person for their country, but only a minority said they thought Trump would be good. It was. Do good for peace.
Majorities in several countries also said Trump’s return would lead to increased support in Ukraine and the Middle East, particularly India (65% and 62%), Saudi Arabia (62% and 54%), and Russia (61% and 41%). I feel that there is a greater possibility that peace will be achieved. and China (60% and 48%).
Ukrainians were much more cautious, with 39% believing President Trump would bring peace to their country and 35% saying it was unlikely, but in Europe and South Korea whether Trump 2.0 would bring about any changes. There was widespread skepticism.
Only 24% of the UK, 31% of South Korea, and 34% of the 11 EU countries said Trump’s return would increase the chances of peace in Ukraine (16% of the UK, 25% of the 11 EU countries). (34% in 19 EU countries). % in South Korea), and felt that there was a similar impact in the Middle East.
The report’s authors say their findings confirm a general “weakening of the West” and the emergence of a much more transactional a la carte world, with strong acceptance of Russia as an ally or necessary partner in many countries. He claimed that he was pointing out that
Despite Russia’s brutal war against Ukraine, surveys show that the number of Indians and Chinese who consider Russia an ally of their country has actually increased slightly over the past year, and that the average U.S. It was also found that the evaluation had improved.
In contrast, in the face of President Trump’s return, only one in five Europeans (22%) say they consider the United States an ally, up from 31% two years ago. , and the proportion of Americans remains relatively unchanged at half. We considered the EU to be an ally.
Most citizens in countries including Brazil, Indonesia, China, India, Saudi Arabia, South Africa and Turkey expect Russia’s global influence to grow, while majorities in all these countries and the EU and UK expect China to I believe that Japan will become the most powerful country within 20 years.
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US influence is expected to grow, but few believe that “Make America Great Again” (MAGA) will lead to world domination. “US geopolitical exceptionalism is beginning to recede,” the authors say, with the US expected to act as a “normal” great power in the future.
People around the world also view the EU as a global power, with a majority in most countries believing the EU can be treated on equal terms with the US and China. (Ironically, the people least likely to share that view were Europeans.)
Majority in India (62%), South Africa (60%), Brazil (58%), Saudi Arabia (51%), Ukraine (49%), Turkey (48%), China (44%), plurality in Indonesia ( (42%) and the United States (38%) believe the EU will wield “greater influence” globally over the next 10 years.
Additionally, the bloc was widely considered an “ally” or “necessary partner,” including countries such as Brazil, India, and South Africa. The recent EU-Mercosur trade deal “shows what kind of agreements a more united EU could strike”, the report said.
However, the authors emphasized that President Trump’s return has sharply divided the West, not only between the United States and Europe (and other allies such as South Korea), but also within the EU. Some member states were much more welcoming to MAGA than others.
“What the EU has to do to be taken seriously by President Trump’s White House is similar to what it has to do to make friends and influence people around the world.” The book’s authors, foreign policy experts Mark Leonard, Ivan Krastev, and Timothy Garton Ash, wrote:
Rather than trying to form a liberal resistance against Mr. Trump or “posing as moral arbiters of the actions of others,” Europe should “strengthen its domestic power and create new ideas to defend its values and interests.” “We should explore new bilateral partnerships,” they said.
The report covers 16 European countries (Bulgaria, Denmark, Estonia, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Spain, Russia, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, and the United Kingdom) and eight non-European countries (Brazil, China). , India, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, and the United States).
