Kamala Harris’ lead over Donald Trump narrowed in the final stages, giving the Democrat a one-point lead over Republicans, 44% to 43%, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Tuesday.
A three-day poll completed Sunday shows the race is effectively tied ahead of the Nov. 5 election. The poll had a margin of error of about 3 percentage points in either direction.
Harris has led Trump in every Reuters/Ipsos poll of registered voters since she entered the race in July, but that lead has steadily narrowed since late September. Ta. A preliminary Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted October 16-21 showed current US Vice President Harris leading former President Trump by two points.
The new poll of 1,150 adults nationwide, including 975 registered voters, shows Mr. Trump has a significant advantage over Ms. Harris on several issues voters consider most pressing. It was done.
When asked which candidate has a better approach to the economy, unemployment and jobs, voters in the poll chose Trump 47% to 37%. Trump has had an economic advantage throughout the campaign, with 26% of voters in the latest poll citing jobs and the economy as the country’s most pressing issue, and 24% citing political extremism. , 18% cited immigration.
President Trump’s greatest policy strength is immigration, and he has proposed a hard-line plan that includes mass deportation of illegal immigrants to the country. In the latest poll, about 48% of voters said Trump’s approach to immigration is the best, compared with 33% who chose Harris.
The poll also showed that Harris’ lead on the issue of political extremism is waning. About 40% of voters polled said she had a better approach to dealing with political extremism and threats to democracy, compared to 38% who chose Trump. . The October 16-21 poll showed Harris leading Trump by 7 points on extremism, while Harris had a 2 point lead on this issue.
Harris highlighted Trump’s role in the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol by his supporters seeking to overturn his loss in the 2020 presidential election, and on Tuesday held a final rally before the election. This is a large-scale pre-election speech that includes what the same camp is advocating. This is where President Trump rallied his supporters before the riot.
President Trump fired back, arguing that Harris’ views are extreme and amount to a socialist takeover of American institutions.
Harris’ narrow lead over Trump, even if it lasts until November 5, may not be enough to win the election.
National polls such as the Reuters/Ipsos poll provide important indicators of voters’ views, but state-by-state results in the Electoral College will determine the winner, with seven battleground states likely to be decisive. .
In the 2016 election, Trump defeated Democrat Hillary Clinton, winning the electoral college despite winning the national popular vote by two points.
Polls show Harris and Trump tied even in these battleground states.
Given the close race, candidates’ efforts to ensure their supporters actually vote will likely be key to determining the winner.
Just two-thirds of American adults voted in the 2020 election, the highest turnout in more than 100 years, according to estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau and Pew Research Center.
The poll found that about 89% of registered Democrats and 93% of registered Republicans said they were completely confident they would vote. This may indicate greater enthusiasm for voting now than four years ago, when 74% of Democrats and 79% of Republicans said they were definitely voting in a late October 2020 Reuters/Ipsos poll. It shows that there is a gender.
Among respondents considered most likely to vote in the latest poll, Ms. Harris had a one-point lead over Mr. Trump, 47% to 46%.
(Except for the headline, this story has not been edited by NDTV staff and is published from a syndicated feed.)